Tuesday 11 October 2011

Huge odds of exact no-balls - expert

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Huge odds of exact no-balls - expert

Richard Sydenham at Southwark Crown Court

October 10, 2011

The likelihood of three no-balls occurring at pre-determined times in a Test match had a "one in a 1.5 million chance" of happening, a court was told on Monday during the alleged spot-fixing trial of two Pakistan cricketers.

Sky Sports statistician Benedict Bermange, appearing as a prosecution witness late in the afternoon, made the claim at Southwark Crown Court where former Pakistan captain Salman Butt and fast bowler Mohammad Asif are defending themselves against allegations of conspiring to bowl pre-planned no-balls in the Lord's Test last year. Both players deny the charges.

The jury has already heard in the background of how the two no-balls and that of Mohammad Amir Mohammad Asif has been released exactly the same time in the match, as had been predicted in a tape filmed secret agent Mazhar Majeed, who has been exposed in a socket operation by an undercover News of the World journalist.

"By my calculations, there is a chance in a million (three balls without being overthrown at predetermined times)," Bermange said, "but for these two bowlers who are one of 1.5 million used" without probably because of their expertise and accuracy not to exceed usual.

In the statement Bermange, revealed that Pakistan Bowl is 23 percent more balls than any other country, but also said that Asif's career is 58 balls - or just under two tests - was low compared to his contemporaries . This number includes a 24-match against South Africa.

Asif's legal representative asked Alexander Milne Bermange on its findings and accepted the award for pre bowling no balls, no intervention would be corrupt "far", but has also obtained an important concession from Bermange on his client.

When Milne showed a chart that describes Asif printed on the front of the feet without the ball and Bermange suggested it was a no-ball just a fraction, Sky Sports, a statistician replied: "Yes."

Although Bermange revealed the degree at Durham University, admitted in mathematics "," level and had taken statistics. He also noted that some genius (maybe to make the slope), the Lord is more than 20 percent of non-Ball than any other country in the world.

But it was little consolation to a teenage Amir, who according Bermange, exceeded by some distance.

"I participated in 50 test matches within my current position, and these two (bowled by Amir) were the major no-balls in front of the foot over the fold, I've seen."

World News reporter Mazhar Mahmood returned to the witness stand Tuesday, and will soon be a statistical issue David Kendix, which was designed by the ICC World opinion. The case continues.
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